Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 2.267258 2.588553 2.939760 3.352274 3.823711 4.345906 4.968544
2025-08-17 1.723868 2.147183 2.651820 3.298279 4.105413 5.081276 6.352953
2025-08-24 1.473078 1.947709 2.548219 3.364861 4.448643 5.840761 7.770161
2025-08-31 1.292320 1.794192 2.460846 3.412958 4.741457 6.535002 9.150254
2025-09-07 1.133695 1.641726 2.345547 3.394279 4.922541 7.076837 10.359918
2025-09-14 0.995843 1.497298 2.218551 3.334740 5.025696 7.503273 11.431487
2025-09-21 0.891231 1.386726 2.124219 3.305741 5.160404 7.975771 12.604637
2025-09-28 0.798772 1.282786 2.026305 3.256211 5.251323 8.380808 13.702342
2025-10-05 0.779990 1.290947 2.099853 3.479430 5.788726 9.526391 16.090425
2025-10-12 0.723475 1.231380 2.058261 3.509124 6.009764 10.177028 17.718951
2025-10-19 0.691088 1.208088 2.072554 3.631116 6.393538 11.127540 19.945724
2025-10-26 0.638688 1.144890 2.012840 3.618233 6.539654 11.679913 21.519153
2025-11-02 0.581913 1.072541 1.937537 3.583511 6.667688 12.255605 23.280561
2025-11-09 0.526729 0.998109 1.852545 3.525105 6.751980 12.772060 25.015006
2025-11-16 0.495848 0.965079 1.838727 3.596369 7.084642 13.779538 27.800893
2025-11-23 0.465638 0.929804 1.816493 3.647829 7.382307 14.747542 30.614811
2025-11-30 0.430241 0.880379 1.761593 3.627843 7.533500 15.439563 32.939066
2025-12-07 0.393892 0.825101 1.689315 3.564142 7.586679 15.935658 34.902790
2025-12-14 0.364615 0.781325 1.635729 3.533116 7.703789 16.573491 37.240725
2025-12-21 0.336168 0.736331 1.575046 3.480124 7.766815 17.100354 39.388480
2025-12-28 0.335904 0.752303 1.644755 3.718950 8.498544 19.157564 45.254985
2026-01-04 0.318005 0.727291 1.623130 3.750721 8.764594 20.201671 48.872944
2026-01-11 0.309136 0.721775 1.643903 3.881252 9.272081 21.847164 54.117081